Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.025039 0.027648 0.030231 0.032974 0.035799 0.038619 0.041641
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019289 0.023434 0.027662 0.032268 0.037115 0.042044 0.047413
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015514 0.020643 0.026018 0.031993 0.038387 0.044974 0.052228
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013074 0.018939 0.025233 0.032348 0.040058 0.048078 0.056980
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010395 0.016691 0.023637 0.031630 0.040402 0.049611 0.059906
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008542 0.015199 0.022736 0.031543 0.041310 0.051640 0.063254
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006816 0.013689 0.021697 0.031204 0.041855 0.053199 0.066017
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005239 0.012199 0.020579 0.030692 0.042138 0.054409 0.068342
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003497 0.010277 0.018832 0.029375 0.041454 0.054505 0.069405
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002961 0.009939 0.018962 0.030193 0.043129 0.057154 0.073203
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002189 0.009146 0.018477 0.030252 0.043915 0.058795 0.075874
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001232 0.007852 0.017287 0.029429 0.043660 0.059251 0.077219
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000469 0.006668 0.016285 0.028945 0.043946 0.060483 0.079621
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.005456 0.015186 0.028345 0.044127 0.061641 0.081997
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004540 0.014409 0.028096 0.044685 0.063198 0.084793
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004009 0.014131 0.028437 0.045905 0.065476 0.088360
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003045 0.013083 0.027751 0.045879 0.066316 0.090302
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002449 0.012534 0.027668 0.046540 0.067908 0.093056
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001825 0.011831 0.027344 0.046886 0.069120 0.095362
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001224 0.011035 0.026856 0.047006 0.070051 0.097333
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000515 0.009720 0.025600 0.046158 0.069844 0.098004
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000442 0.009887 0.026380 0.047787 0.072478 0.101853
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000228 0.009552 0.026436 0.048513 0.074058 0.104502